Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 4.592624e-05 0.000054 0.000062 0.000071 0.000082 0.000093 0.000106
2025-01-12 3.442048e-05 0.000044 0.000055 0.000069 0.000085 0.000102 0.000123
2025-01-19 2.625929e-05 0.000037 0.000049 0.000066 0.000085 0.000108 0.000136
2025-01-26 2.085417e-05 0.000032 0.000045 0.000064 0.000087 0.000114 0.000150
2025-02-02 1.839724e-05 0.000030 0.000045 0.000066 0.000093 0.000127 0.000170
2025-02-09 1.561214e-05 0.000027 0.000043 0.000066 0.000096 0.000135 0.000185
2025-02-16 1.475361e-05 0.000027 0.000045 0.000070 0.000105 0.000150 0.000210
2025-02-23 1.277800e-05 0.000025 0.000043 0.000071 0.000109 0.000158 0.000226
2025-03-02 1.012847e-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000067 0.000106 0.000159 0.000231
2025-03-09 8.274095e-06 0.000019 0.000037 0.000065 0.000106 0.000162 0.000240
2025-03-16 6.856879e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000063 0.000106 0.000165 0.000250
2025-03-23 5.755126e-06 0.000015 0.000033 0.000062 0.000107 0.000170 0.000260
2025-03-30 4.526450e-06 0.000014 0.000031 0.000061 0.000108 0.000176 0.000275
2025-04-06 3.391699e-06 0.000012 0.000028 0.000058 0.000108 0.000180 0.000286
2025-04-13 2.432210e-06 0.000010 0.000025 0.000056 0.000106 0.000181 0.000295
2025-04-20 1.790247e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000054 0.000106 0.000186 0.000307
2025-04-27 1.560579e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000056 0.000112 0.000199 0.000333
2025-05-04 1.229490e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000056 0.000115 0.000207 0.000351
2025-05-11 1.176316e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000060 0.000125 0.000226 0.000385
2025-05-18 9.316605e-07 0.000007 0.000023 0.000060 0.000128 0.000235 0.000404
2025-05-25 6.016209e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000057 0.000125 0.000234 0.000410
2025-06-01 4.018690e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000055 0.000124 0.000236 0.000420
2025-06-08 2.692243e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000053 0.000124 0.000240 0.000432